This dissertation was written as part of the MSc in Banking and Finance at the
International Hellenic University.
The primary purpose of this study is to examine the effect of falling interest rates and
the
interest rate spread
to bank interest margins an
d profitability in European Union.
For this purpose, we
examine
an unbalanced sample of 29
11
banks from 19 European
Union member states
with annual frequency
,
for the period starting from 2010 until
2016. By using return on average assets and net interest
margin as proxy for bank
profitability, we find a strong positive significant relationship between
net interest
margin (NIM) and return on average assets (ROAA)
on the one hand and short
-
term
interest rates on the other, both in low and high interest rate
regimes
, as a drop of 1%
in short term interest rates can reduce ROAA almost
21.7 basis points
and NIM almost
35 basis points
. The same results hold, although less strong for the
interest spread
as a
drop of 1% in the
interest rate spread
can have a negati
ve impact of almost 10
basis
points
in ROAA and NIM. In addition to that, we examine the effect of interest rates and
spread
to interest income margin and interest expense margin in order to explore the
system
from which the impact is
transferred
to net in
terest margin.
The results show
that, in low interest rate regime
,
interest income margin
absor
b
s
large
amount of the
drop of interest rates, suggesting that banks have to reprice
assets,
but it is difficult to
adjust liabilities, as they fear of losing their depositors.
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