This dissertation was written as part of the MSc in Banking and Finance, at the
International Hellenic University. Aims to explore, identify and critically analyze the
nature of the financial contagion. Consists an investigation of the global markets’
interdependences and captures the time varying correlations among the nations, during
the Covid-19 era. It is not yet clear enough if the outbreak of the pandemic will trigger
the next financial recession, but it is quite clear that the markets around the world have
experienced a strong shock.
This research will investigate the spread of the financial contagion effect from
China to the markets of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, United
States of America and Russia. It is going to be held in two different time-horizons, the
“before” and the “after” the Corona Virus outbreak. This analysis intends to confirm the
findings within the existing literature and expand the latter further, by taking into
consideration the extreme market conditions that COVID-19 elicited.
Having taken into consideration the possible limitations of the DCC-GARCH
approach, the findings provide evidence of financial contagion in the five out of the eight
sampled countries. The output of the applied model suggests that the time varying
conditional correlations increase after the pandemic’s shock.
The first part of this dissertation provides a systematic and methodical review of
the existing literature. The second part refers to the methodologies followed in the past,
the methodology and the data selected for the purpose of this specific research. The
third part presents the descriptive statistics of the dataset including the variables’
testing. The fourth part, reports and discusses the results of the implemented approach,
while the fifth and last part concludes with the main findings and recommendations for
further research.
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